Lerchenfeld vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCK
2 - 0
LER
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LER
5 - 3
FCK
61%
19%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DOR
2 - 1
LER
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LER
0 - 3
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
3 - 0
LER
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FCK
1 - 1
LIE
14%
16%
70%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
LIE
2 - 8
THU
30%
21%
49%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -3 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BUB
2 - 1
LIE
33%
20%
47%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LIE
0 - 3
OLD
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BIN
4 - 2
LIE
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |