Lerchenfeld vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
LER
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LER
2 - 1
WOH
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEN
2 - 1
LER
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LER
2 - 2
THU
24%
22%
55%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
LER
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
DUR
0 - 3
OLT
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2015 |
SCH
3 - 1
DUR
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 1
LAN
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 0
DUR
42%
23%
36%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DUR
2 - 3
BAS
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |