Leones vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 5
LEO
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
UNI
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
REA
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
BJC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
COR
31%
26%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
REA
2 - 2
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |