León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 1
NEC
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 2
LEO
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
LEO
66%
20%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
LEO
2 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
REB
1 - 1
LEO
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 4
PAC
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2001 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 0
CHI
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |