Liga MX Apertura . Jor. 11

León vs Pumas UNAM analysis

León Pumas UNAM
77 ELO 79
20.4% Tilt 10.4%
418º General ELO ranking 468º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
53.7%
León
24.7%
Draw
21.6%
Pumas UNAM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
León
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.6%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-9%
+8%
Pumas UNAM

ELO progression

León
Pumas UNAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
LEO
León
2 - 0
Monterrey
MON
40%
25%
34%
76 83 7 0
22 Sep. 2012
PUE
Puebla
1 - 1
León
LEO
41%
26%
33%
76 74 2 0
19 Sep. 2012
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 0
León
LEO
57%
23%
21%
76 82 6 0
15 Sep. 2012
LEO
León
1 - 2
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
56%
24%
20%
76 76 0 0
02 Sep. 2012
SNL
San Luis
0 - 2
León
LEO
37%
26%
37%
75 73 2 +1

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2012
PUM
Pumas UNAM
2 - 1
Puebla
PUE
49%
26%
25%
79 74 5 0
24 Sep. 2012
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
43%
29%
28%
79 77 2 0
20 Sep. 2012
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
45%
28%
27%
79 77 2 0
16 Sep. 2012
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
San Luis
SNL
55%
25%
20%
79 72 7 0
01 Sep. 2012
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
61%
22%
17%
79 82 3 0
X