Lentigione vs Castelvetro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 1
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEN
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 0
VFC
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
IMO
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
USP
1 - 2
LEN
30%
24%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Castelvetro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
VFC
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 2
SDA
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
IMO
5 - 1
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
USP
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 3
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |