Lens vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LYO
3 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
LEN
1 - 0
AUX
61%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
STR
3 - 2
ASS
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TRO
0 - 1
STR
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
STR
1 - 4
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
MET
1 - 0
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
STR
3 - 2
SED
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |