Lens vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 1
LEN
19%
24%
58%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
3 - 0
LEI
53%
22%
24%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 3
LEN
11%
21%
68%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LEN
2 - 2
LEV
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 1
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
TRI
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
AJA
18%
20%
62%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 4
PAN
34%
27%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |