Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
11º
6º
9
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 88 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 67 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 55 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 31 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 29 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 28 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 28 |
18º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League
|
9% | 57.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
10.5% | 15.5% |
|
Europa League
|
14.5% | 12% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
16% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LEN
2 - 1
RBL
25%
23%
53%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LEN
0 - 2
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
WOL
1 - 3
LEN
29%
26%
45%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LEN
2 - 1
MET
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEN
5 - 1
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LYO
2 - 1
GET
68%
19%
13%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BYM
2 - 1
LYO
81%
13%
7%
|
95 | 100 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
MLL
0 - 4
LYO
20%
22%
58%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HSV
0 - 4
LYO
23%
21%
56%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
LYO
0 - 0
RWD
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |