Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
NIC
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MPL
3 - 3
LEN
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
GIR
0 - 5
LYO
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
3 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 3
LYO
30%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
2 - 1
REI
69%
20%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |