Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
27%
26%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAR
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASN
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 2
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 3
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 0
NIC
44%
27%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 1
NIC
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LMU
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |