Lens vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
LIL
4 - 0
LEN
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
LEN
0 - 3
NAN
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SED
3 - 1
LEN
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
LEN
3 - 2
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
REN
3 - 3
LEN
48%
23%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1964 |
MON
2 - 1
TFC
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
NÎM
1 - 0
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
MON
3 - 2
LYO
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
STR
3 - 3
MON
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1964 |
FCR
1 - 1
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |