Lens vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 3
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 3
LMU
54%
25%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SED
1 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 0
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
MON
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
AMI
1 - 1
MET
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
MET
1 - 0
USB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
LMU
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
REI
3 - 0
MET
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |