Lens vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
20.7%
70.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 1
CLE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 1
LEN
11%
19%
70%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 0
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
26%
24%
51%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
INT
2 - 2
MON
73%
16%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 4
INT
5%
19%
76%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
INT
3 - 0
SAM
82%
12%
5%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 3
INT
11%
21%
68%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 4
INT
39%
27%
34%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |