Lens vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
LEN
3%
9%
88%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
AJA
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 2
LEN
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
REI
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LHA
0 - 0
AMI
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
GRQ
0 - 3
LHA
7%
14%
78%
|
70 | 23 | 47 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
STL
0 - 2
LHA
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
REI
1 - 0
LHA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
LHA
2 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |