Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 2
DIJ
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 3
LEN
14%
21%
64%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 2
IST
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 2
LEN
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
ETG
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
MPL
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |