Lens vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEN
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
LEN
4 - 0
LHA
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
BRC
2 - 1
LEN
7%
19%
74%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
SED
0 - 0
LEN
38%
27%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2000 |
AUX
1 - 0
GIR
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2000 |
AMI
1 - 0
AUX
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
AUX
2 - 0
LYO
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LHA
0 - 0
AUX
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |