Leiston vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
LEI
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BIL
2 - 0
LEI
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 1
LEI
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LEI
2 - 0
WOR
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 2
BUR
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CAN
3 - 0
HAR
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
HAV
3 - 1
HAR
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 0
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
STA
0 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |