Legion Makhachkala vs Astrakhan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
14º
11º
30
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 50 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 49 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 48 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 37 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 37 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 35 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 32 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
97% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Legion Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 5
FKK
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 0
NAL
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SOC
2 - 2
LEG
26%
22%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
1 - 2
SKC
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
LEG
3 - 1
DDA
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Astrakhan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
SOC
2 - 0
AST
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
AST
1 - 1
SKC
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DMA
1 - 1
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
AST
2 - 2
NCH
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 0
AST
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |