Leganés vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leganés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
0 - 1
LEG
18%
29%
53%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 1
GIR
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
LEG
11%
27%
62%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
LEG
3 - 1
CAR
79%
16%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
LEG
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 2
MAL
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ZAR
2 - 2
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GIR
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |