Leeds United vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
56%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 1
LEE
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
LEE
1 - 1
WIG
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
LEE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LEE
2 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BRI
1 - 0
LEE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 1
PNE
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
FUL
2 - 2
NOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 1
ROT
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WOL
1 - 2
NOR
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
4 - 3
NOR
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |