Leeds United vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 0
LEE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 4
TOT
21%
22%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
LIV
6 - 0
LEE
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LEE
2 - 4
MUD
17%
22%
62%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEE
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
4 - 0
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BHA
0 - 2
ASV
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
WAT
62%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 3
LEE
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |