Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
POD
0 - 2
LPO
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LPO
2 - 0
SLA
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GOR
1 - 1
LPO
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LPO
1 - 1
KOR
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LPO
5 - 1
STA
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 1
POG
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
RCH
0 - 0
WAR
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 0
ZAW
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GDA
1 - 0
WAR
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
WAR
2 - 0
POD
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |