Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2006 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 0
MAN
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VER
1 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LEC
3 - 1
ABN
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAV
2 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
64%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 0
GEN
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 1
RIM
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 2
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 1
MOD
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |