Serie C Final
Global 1-2
Lecce vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACD
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ACD
1 - 1
LEC
18%
23%
59%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ABN
2 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCS
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FCS
1 - 2
CAR
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |