Lecce vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEC
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAT
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
LEC
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 1
UDI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRE
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
ROM
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |