Lecce vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEC
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 1
VNZ
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
INT
6 - 0
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BAR
3 - 2
PIA
45%
29%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CAG
2 - 3
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 1
REG
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
PRG
1 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |