Campeonato de Portugal Grupo B. Jor. 22

Leça FC vs Amarante analysis

Leça FC Amarante
39 ELO 40
-12.9% Tilt -9%
20180º General ELO ranking 3950º
318º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
45.2%
Leça FC
26.2%
Draw
28.6%
Amarante

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
Leça FC
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.6%
Win probability
Amarante
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Leça FC
Amarante
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Leça FC
Leça FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2020
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 4
Leça FC
LEC
13%
18%
69%
40 21 19 0
02 Feb. 2020
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 1
Lusitano FCV
LUS
53%
25%
22%
40 36 4 0
26 Jan. 2020
ESP
Espinho
0 - 2
Leça FC
LEC
74%
18%
9%
38 50 12 +2
19 Jan. 2020
LEC
Leça FC
0 - 1
Castro Daire
CAS
59%
21%
21%
39 33 6 -1
12 Jan. 2020
LEC
Leça FC
3 - 0
Vila Real
VIL
66%
19%
15%
38 26 12 +1

Matches

Amarante
Amarante
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2020
AMA
Amarante
2 - 0
Pedras Rubras
PED
50%
26%
24%
38 36 2 0
02 Feb. 2020
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
3 - 5
Amarante
AMA
65%
21%
15%
36 43 7 +2
26 Jan. 2020
AMA
Amarante
0 - 1
Arouca
ARO
13%
23%
64%
37 58 21 -1
19 Jan. 2020
PAR
USC Paredes
0 - 0
Amarante
AMA
42%
25%
33%
37 36 1 0
12 Jan. 2020
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 1
Amarante
AMA
69%
19%
11%
37 47 10 0
X