Burundi Coupe du President . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Le Messager Ngozi vs Bumamuru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
BUM
3 - 1
NGO
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
NGO
1 - 1
RUK
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
NGO
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
NGO
2 - 0
RMU
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LEL
0 - 4
NGO
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bumamuru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
BUM
3 - 1
NGO
45%
23%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
BUM
2 - 0
STA
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
BUM
2 - 0
RUK
44%
24%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
DYN
0 - 2
BUM
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BUM
1 - 6
MFC
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |