Serie A Round 5

Lazio vs Palermo FC analysis

Lazio Palermo FC
87 ELO 82
7.8% Tilt -2.9%
17º General ELO ranking 299º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
65.9%
Lazio
20.2%
Draw
13.9%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
Lazio
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
Palermo FC
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-7%
+3%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Lazio
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2005
ACM
Milan
2 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
70%
18%
11%
87 93 6 0
18 Sep. 2005
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Treviso
TRE
76%
16%
8%
87 68 19 0
11 Sep. 2005
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
31%
27%
42%
87 79 8 0
28 Aug. 2005
LAZ
Lazio
1 - 0
ACR Messina
MES
70%
18%
12%
87 78 9 0
03 Aug. 2005
MAR
Olympique Marseille
3 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
46%
26%
28%
87 86 1 0

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2005
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 0
Reggina
REG
58%
23%
19%
82 79 3 0
18 Sep. 2005
SIE
Siena
1 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
46%
27%
28%
81 79 2 +1
15 Sep. 2005
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 1
Anorthosis
ANO
45%
23%
32%
81 81 0 0
10 Sep. 2005
PAL
Palermo FC
3 - 2
Inter
INT
18%
24%
58%
80 92 12 +1
28 Aug. 2005
PAR
Parma
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
61%
22%
17%
80 85 5 0