Serie A Round 13

Lazio vs Genoa analysis

Lazio Genoa
79 ELO 70
-7% Tilt -18.4%
17º General ELO ranking 63º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
68%
Lazio
18.8%
Draw
13.1%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
Lazio
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.1%
Win probability
Genoa
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lazio
-7%
+2%
Genoa

ELO progression

Lazio
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1953
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
SPAL
SPA
59%
21%
20%
79 76 3 0
29 Nov. 1953
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
55%
23%
22%
79 79 0 0
22 Nov. 1953
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 3
Fiorentina
FIO
54%
23%
23%
79 81 2 0
08 Nov. 1953
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
79 73 6 0
01 Nov. 1953
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
60%
21%
19%
79 74 5 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1953
GEN
Genoa
2 - 1
AC Legnano
UNI
56%
23%
21%
70 67 3 0
29 Nov. 1953
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 1
Genoa
GEN
62%
21%
17%
71 74 3 -1
22 Nov. 1953
GEN
Genoa
0 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
45%
26%
29%
71 78 7 0
08 Nov. 1953
ACM
Milan
3 - 0
Genoa
GEN
87%
9%
4%
71 87 16 0
01 Nov. 1953
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Torino
TOR
41%
25%
34%
71 78 7 0