Lazio vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
FIO
1 - 0
LAZ
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ASL
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
UDI
2 - 3
LAZ
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
BOL
3 - 2
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 2
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 0
UDI
64%
18%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SAM
2 - 1
ATL
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |