Lazio vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 1
LAZ
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 1
LAZ
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CRO
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
LAZ
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAG
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPE
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
BEN
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |