Lausanne Sports vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
STA
3 - 0
LAU
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LAU
5 - 1
FCA
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ILI
1 - 6
LAU
1%
4%
95%
|
71 | 15 | 56 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
LAU
4 - 0
KRI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 6
LAU
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 1
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
38%
25%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
CON
0 - 5
LUG
5%
11%
83%
|
74 | 13 | 61 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
SIO
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
YOB
2 - 0
LUG
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |