Austrian Bundesliga Temporada Regular round 11

LASK vs Sturm Graz analysis

LASK Sturm Graz
81 ELO 82
4.6% Tilt 1.4%
549º General ELO ranking 506º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43%
LASK
24.5%
Draw
32.5%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
LASK
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.5%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
LASK
+15%
+6%
Sturm Graz

Points and table prediction

LASK
Their league position
Sturm Graz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
12º
46
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sturm Graz
46
46
0%
Austria Wien
46
46
0%
Salzburg
38
38
100%
Wolfsberger AC
36
36
100%
Rapid Wien
34
34
100%
Blau-Weiß Linz
33
33
100%
LASK
31
31
100%
TSV Hartberg
26
26
100%
Austria Klagenfurt
21
21
100%
WSG Tirol
10º
19
19
10º
100%
Grazer AK
11º
16
16
11º
100%
SCR Altach
12º
16
16
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
LASK
Sturm Graz
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

LASK
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LASK
LASK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2024
OLI
Olimpija Ljubljana
2 - 0
LASK
LAS
37%
25%
38%
82 77 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
WAT
WSG Tirol
1 - 2
LASK
LAS
39%
26%
35%
82 79 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
LAS
LASK
4 - 0
Austria Klagenfurt
SKA
41%
24%
34%
82 82 0 0
03 Oct. 2024
LAS
LASK
2 - 2
Djurgårdens IF
DJU
48%
24%
27%
81 81 0 +1
28 Sep. 2024
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 1
LASK
LAS
49%
24%
27%
81 82 1 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 2
Sporting CP
SCP
23%
23%
54%
82 89 7 0
19 Oct. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
5 - 2
Grazer AK
GRA
46%
24%
30%
82 79 3 0
06 Oct. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
5 - 0
Salzburg
RBS
40%
25%
35%
82 81 1 0
02 Oct. 2024
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Club Brugge
BRU
28%
25%
48%
82 88 6 0
28 Sep. 2024
FCB
Blau-Weiß Linz
1 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
40%
25%
35%
82 81 1 0