Austrian Bundesliga Championship Group Round 2

LASK vs Sturm Graz analysis

LASK Sturm Graz
81 ELO 80
10.2% Tilt 10.6%
580º General ELO ranking 549º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.1%
LASK
24.1%
Draw
29.8%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
LASK
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.8%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
LASK
+10%
+7%
Sturm Graz

Points and table prediction

LASK
Their league position
Sturm Graz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Salzburg
49
22
100%
Sturm Graz
42
18
100%
LASK
35
16
100%
Rapid Wien
25
9
100%
Austria Wien
24
8
0%
Austria Klagenfurt
23
8
0%
Expected probabilities
LASK
Sturm Graz
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Europa League qualifying phase
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

LASK
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

LASK
LASK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
LASK
LAS
45%
24%
31%
81 81 0 0
02 Apr. 2023
AUS
Austria Wien
2 - 2
LASK
LAS
44%
24%
32%
81 81 0 0
24 Mar. 2023
LAS
LASK
3 - 2
České Budějovice
ESK
65%
19%
16%
80 70 10 +1
19 Mar. 2023
HAR
TSV Hartberg
2 - 2
LASK
LAS
33%
25%
42%
81 76 5 -1
12 Mar. 2023
LAS
LASK
0 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
42%
24%
34%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
1 - 0
LASK
LAS
45%
24%
31%
81 81 0 0
02 Apr. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
3 - 1
Rapid Wien
RAP
43%
25%
32%
81 81 0 0
24 Mar. 2023
STR
Sturm Graz
4 - 0
SKN St. Polten
SKN
69%
18%
13%
81 66 15 0
24 Mar. 2023
HAR
TSV Hartberg
3 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
34%
25%
41%
81 76 5 0
19 Mar. 2023
WAT
WSG Tirol
0 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
42%
24%
34%
81 79 2 0