Larne vs Portadown analysis


71	ELO	46
-1.2%	Tilt	1.8%
1516º	General ELO ranking	1560º
7º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

78.6%

Larne

15.4%

Draw

6%

Portadown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

78.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%

15.4%

Draw

0-0

6.5%

1-1

6.8%

2-2

1.8%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

15.4%

6%

Win probability

0.46

Expected goals

0-1

3%

1-2

1.6%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

4.9%

0-2

0.7%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

1%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+18%

-7%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

73

1º

8º

1º

16

11º

12º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

12º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	73	73	1º	100%
2º	68	68	2º	100%
3º	66	66	3º	100%
4º	65	65	4º	100%
5º	62	62	5º	100%
6º	58	58	6º	100%
7º	39	39	7º	100%
8º	37	37	8º	100%
9º	32	32	9º	100%
10º	23	23	10º	100%
11º	23	23	11º	100%
12º	16	16	12º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Play-offs for the title	100%	0%
Relegation play-offs	0%	100%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Larne

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
21 Jan. 2023	LAR 0 - 0 CRU 42% 26% 32%	71	71	0	0
14 Jan. 2023	GLE 0 - 1 LAR 40% 26% 34%	71	67	4	0
07 Jan. 2023	LAR 3 - 0 CRU 87% 10% 4%	70	12	58	+1
02 Jan. 2023	CLI 2 - 1 LAR 45% 26% 29%	71	71	0	-1
26 Dec. 2022	LAR 0 - 0 CAR 74% 17% 9%	71	53	18	0

Matches

Portadown

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
14 Jan. 2023	COL 4 - 1 POR 79% 15% 6%	47	71	24	0
07 Jan. 2023	POR 2 - 0 BAN 40% 24% 36%	46	46	0	+1
02 Jan. 2023	POR 0 - 0 DUN 26% 23% 50%	46	52	6	0
26 Dec. 2022	GLE 2 - 1 POR 78% 14% 7%	46	63	17	0
17 Dec. 2022	CLI 4 - 1 POR 82% 14% 5%	46	71	25	0