Larne vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
2º
4º
2º
61
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 9 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 1
LIN
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
COL
1 - 2
LAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CRU
2 - 2
LAR
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 1
LAR
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 2
GLE
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CRU
0 - 4
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |