Larne vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
6º
1º
46
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 10 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
LAR
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
8 - 1
CLI
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
0 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 2
LAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
COL
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
GLE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
CLI
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
DUN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |