Larne vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
66
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
1 - 1
LIN
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
LAR
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 0
POR
80%
15%
5%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
COL
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
4 - 0
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |