L'Arboç vs Jesus Catalonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L'Arboç
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 3
LAR
41%
22%
38%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 2
CUA
40%
22%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ECA
3 - 3
LAR
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
ALD
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
1 - 1
LAR
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jesus Catalonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSC
3 - 1
JCA
79%
13%
8%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JCA
3 - 3
GAN
15%
19%
66%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CUA
3 - 2
JCA
77%
14%
10%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
JCA
1 - 2
ECA
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALD
3 - 1
JCA
66%
19%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |