Lansing United vs Derby City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lansing United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 0
LAS
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
LAS
2 - 2
WES
38%
22%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
LAS
1 - 2
MIC
8%
16%
76%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
LAS
1 - 1
DAY
38%
23%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DAY
1 - 3
LAS
72%
16%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 5
CIN
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 6
DAY
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
WES
4 - 1
RIV
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 6
MIC
4%
12%
84%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 6
CIN
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |