Lancaster City vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
WAR
4 - 0
LAN
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LAN
4 - 1
FAR
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OSS
2 - 1
LAN
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
WOS
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
FYL
1 - 0
LAN
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 2
HAR
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 3
CUR
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SKE
4 - 1
RAD
69%
17%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
RAD
3 - 2
OSS
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 2
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |