Lancaster City vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MOS
0 - 1
LAN
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
ALT
4 - 0
LAN
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HAL
4 - 3
LAN
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 1
FAR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SUT
0 - 2
LAN
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 3
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
RUS
0 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAT
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
STA
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BUX
2 - 1
MAR
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |