Lancaster City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 1
LAN
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LAN
3 - 2
ASH
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 1
LAN
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
LAN
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
LAN
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
0 - 0
BUX
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
1 - 1
RAD
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
1 - 0
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
GAI
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAI
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |