Lancaster City vs City of Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 2
ASH
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 1
LAN
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 4
ILK
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HYD
0 - 3
LAN
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
City of Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 1
CIT
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
1 - 2
187
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
2 - 1
WIT
32%
26%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIT
3 - 1
187
52%
24%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
VAU
3 - 2
CIT
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |