Lagoa vs Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
QUA
1 - 0
LAG
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
PES
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
LAG
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 0
FAR
9%
21%
71%
|
22 | 71 | 49 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 1
LAG
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LAG
1 - 2
ALJ
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SES
1 - 2
LAG
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
6 - 0
DES
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 10 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LAG
2 - 0
FAB
12%
23%
65%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
QUA
1 - 1
LAG
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |