La Tour / Le Pâquier vs Lerchenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TPA
0 - 3
BER
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
TPA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TPA
2 - 2
FCS
48%
22%
29%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
THI
3 - 2
TPA
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TPA
1 - 1
BUM
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lerchenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 0
LER
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LER
2 - 2
FCK
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
LER
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LER
3 - 1
SEC
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LER
0 - 2
LAU
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |