Provincial Luxembourg. Jor. 24

La Roche vs Bastogne analysis

La Roche Bastogne
21 ELO 19
-14% Tilt -3.7%
9837º General ELO ranking 22747º
299º Country ELO ranking 443º
ELO win probability
38.5%
La Roche
24.1%
Draw
37.4%
Bastogne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
La Roche
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.4%
Win probability
Bastogne
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Roche
-28%
-23%
Bastogne

ELO progression

La Roche
Bastogne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Roche
La Roche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2022
EBE
Ethe Belmont
0 - 0
La Roche
LAR
59%
22%
20%
20 25 5 0
19 Mar. 2022
JEU
Jeunesse Freylangeoise
1 - 0
La Roche
LAR
64%
19%
17%
20 28 8 0
12 Mar. 2022
LAR
La Roche
2 - 0
RAC Saint-Mard
SMA
58%
21%
21%
20 16 4 0
05 Mar. 2022
LAR
La Roche
0 - 0
Sartoise
SAR
54%
22%
24%
20 18 2 0
26 Feb. 2022
LON
Longlier
2 - 0
La Roche
LAR
58%
21%
22%
20 23 3 0

Matches

Bastogne
Bastogne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2022
BAS
Bastogne
5 - 0
Florenville
FLO
77%
14%
9%
20 12 8 0
25 Mar. 2022
LIB
Libramontois
3 - 1
Bastogne
BAS
66%
19%
15%
20 31 11 0
19 Mar. 2022
AUB
Aubange
3 - 2
Bastogne
BAS
20%
19%
61%
21 15 6 -1
11 Mar. 2022
BAS
Bastogne
1 - 0
Longlier
LON
33%
24%
43%
20 24 4 +1
05 Mar. 2022
BAS
Bastogne
3 - 1
Ethe Belmont
EBE
20%
22%
58%
18 28 10 +2
X