La Luz FC vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
2º
8º
8º
12
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DEF
3 - 0
LUZ
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BOS
4 - 0
LUZ
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 2
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
MWA
4 - 0
RIV
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
MWA
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MWA
1 - 1
DAN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
MWA
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |